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V-Lab

Prescient Therapeutics Limited Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

113.86%

decreased by 11.71%

1 Week

107.14%

decreased by 18.43%

1 Month

93.09%

decreased by 32.48%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 10:09 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Prescient Therapeutics Limited S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 28, 1996 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 5 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.6737
5.87***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1100
5.43***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7633
19.23***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=8
γ10.1664
1.71*
γ2-0.2568
-1.55
γ30.2425
2.21**
γ4-0.2940
-4.09***
γ50.1674
2.57**
γ6-0.0012
-0.02
γ7-0.0401
-0.55
γ80.0270
0.57

Persistence:

0.873

Half-life:

5 days