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V-Lab

Profound Medical Corp GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

62.11%

decreased by 4.00%

1 Week

63.47%

decreased by 2.64%

1 Month

66.49%

increased by 0.38%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:17 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Profound Medical Corp GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 30, 2019 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.73 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

19.4092
4.28***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0713
6.16***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9098
40.48***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.7342
2.47**

Persistence:

0.910

Half-life:

7 days