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V-Lab

Profound Medical Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

68.01%

decreased by 0.80%

1 Week

70.27%

increased by 1.46%

1 Month

70.56%

increased by 1.75%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:17 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Profound Medical Corp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 30, 2019 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 382% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1039
2.27**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5483
15.40***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0823
-2.15**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.3822
0.07
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0184
0.12
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9606
2.01**

Persistence:

0.611

Half-life:

1 days