V-Lab
Profound Medical Corp Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
61.54%
decreased by 0.97%
1 Week
63.58%
increased by 1.07%
1 Month
64.64%
increased by 2.13%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:17 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 30, 2019 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6068 | 5.94*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0680 | 2.31** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4714 | 1.93* |
Spline Coefficients
K=10
| γ1 | -6.5338 | -4.22*** |
| γ2 | 9.6690 | 3.67*** |
| γ3 | -4.1532 | -1.80* |
| γ4 | 1.8394 | 0.92 |
| γ5 | -2.4350 | -1.45 |
| γ6 | 2.7637 | 1.56 |
| γ7 | -2.4284 | -1.45 |
| γ8 | 3.8970 | 2.43** |
| γ9 | -4.7900 | -2.62*** |
| γ10 | 2.7476 | 1.77* |
Persistence:
0.539
Half-life:
1 days
Other Profound Medical Corp Analyses
Other Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Analyses on Equities