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V-Lab

Profound Medical Corp Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

61.54%

decreased by 0.97%

1 Week

63.58%

increased by 1.07%

1 Month

64.64%

increased by 2.13%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:17 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Profound Medical Corp S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 30, 2019 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6068
5.94***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0680
2.31**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4714
1.93*
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-6.5338
-4.22***
γ29.6690
3.67***
γ3-4.1532
-1.80*
γ41.8394
0.92
γ5-2.4350
-1.45
γ62.7637
1.56
γ7-2.4284
-1.45
γ83.8970
2.43**
γ9-4.7900
-2.62***
γ102.7476
1.77*

Persistence:

0.539

Half-life:

1 days