V-Lab
Boston Scientific Corp Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, September 18th, 2026
1 Day
35.98%
decreased by 1.19%
1 Week
35.28%
decreased by 1.89%
1 Month
33.15%
decreased by 4.02%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 17, 2026 at 09:40 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 20, 1992 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 14 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.3195 | 6.34*** |
| αARCH | 0.0470 | 5.23*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9034 | 48.43*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=7
| γ1 | 0.0685 | 3.14*** |
| γ2 | -0.1419 | -4.38*** |
| γ3 | 0.1359 | 5.19*** |
| γ4 | -0.1059 | -3.90*** |
| γ5 | 0.0622 | 2.27** |
| γ6 | -0.0135 | -0.50 |
| γ7 | -0.0087 | -0.38 |
0.950
Persistence14d
Half-lifeτ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.3195 | 6.34*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0470 | 5.23*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9034 | 48.43*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=7
| γ1 | 0.0685 | 3.14*** |
| γ2 | -0.1419 | -4.38*** |
| γ3 | 0.1359 | 5.19*** |
| γ4 | -0.1059 | -3.90*** |
| γ5 | 0.0622 | 2.27** |
| γ6 | -0.0135 | -0.50 |
| γ7 | -0.0087 | -0.38 |
Persistence:
0.950
Half-life:
14 days
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