V-Lab
Boston Scientific Corp Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026
1 Day
37.84%
increased by 1.65%
1 Week
36.96%
increased by 0.77%
1 Month
34.30%
decreased by 1.89%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 10, 2026 at 09:51 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 20, 1992 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 13 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.3170 | 6.40*** |
| αARCH | 0.0470 | 5.17*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9017 | 47.01*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=7
| γ1 | 0.0686 | 3.17*** |
| γ2 | -0.1421 | -4.42*** |
| γ3 | 0.1358 | 5.23*** |
| γ4 | -0.1057 | -3.94*** |
| γ5 | 0.0621 | 2.30** |
| γ6 | -0.0138 | -0.52 |
| γ7 | -0.0082 | -0.37 |
0.949
Persistence13d
Half-lifeτ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.3170 | 6.40*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0470 | 5.17*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9017 | 47.01*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=7
| γ1 | 0.0686 | 3.17*** |
| γ2 | -0.1421 | -4.42*** |
| γ3 | 0.1358 | 5.23*** |
| γ4 | -0.1057 | -3.94*** |
| γ5 | 0.0621 | 2.30** |
| γ6 | -0.0138 | -0.52 |
| γ7 | -0.0082 | -0.37 |
Persistence:
0.949
Half-life:
13 days
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