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V-Lab

Palisade Metals Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 12th, 2026

1 Day

82.42%

decreased by 2.23%

1 Week

85.94%

increased by 1.29%

1 Month

95.68%

increased by 11.03%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 06:39 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/09/2024

to

10/09/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Palisade Metals Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 23, 2021 to Oct 9, 2026
Illiquid Asset

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 15 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 15 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 15-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.4797
1.22
αARCH0.1074
1.55
βGARCH0.8519
16.16***
γleverage-0.0110
-0.13

0.954

Persistence

15d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.4797
1.22
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1074
1.55
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8519
16.16***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0110
-0.13

Persistence:

0.954

Half-life:

15 days