Palisade Metals Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 12th, 2026
1 Day
82.42%
decreased by 2.23%
1 Week
85.94%
increased by 1.29%
1 Month
95.68%
increased by 11.03%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 06:39 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 23, 2021 to Oct 9, 2026Illiquid Asset
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 15 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 15 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 15-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 2.4797 | 1.22 |
| αARCH | 0.1074 | 1.55 |
| βGARCH | 0.8519 | 16.16*** |
| γleverage | -0.0110 | -0.13 |
0.954
Persistence15d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.4797 | 1.22 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1074 | 1.55 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8519 | 16.16*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0110 | -0.13 |
Persistence:
0.954
Half-life:
15 days
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