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Palantir Technologies Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, November 4th, 2026

1 Day

57.99%

decreased by 1.43%

1 Week

58.90%

decreased by 0.52%

1 Month

61.69%

increased by 2.27%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, November 3, 2026 at 10:27 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/03/2024

to

11/03/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Palantir Technologies Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 30, 2020 to Oct 30, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 18 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 18 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.95 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 18-day half-lifev = 3.95 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run19.1976
0.75
αscore0.0642
2.18**
βpersistence0.9623
16.80***
νDF3.9518
0.81

0.962

Persistence

18d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

19.1976
0.75
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.0642
2.18**
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.9623
16.80***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.9518
0.81

Persistence:

0.962

Half-life:

18 days