Palantir Technologies Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, November 4th, 2026
1 Day
57.99%
decreased by 1.43%
1 Week
58.90%
decreased by 0.52%
1 Month
61.69%
increased by 2.27%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, November 3, 2026 at 10:27 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 30, 2020 to Oct 30, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 18 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 18 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.95 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 18-day half-lifev = 3.95 · fat tails
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωlong-run | 19.1976 | 0.75 |
| αscore | 0.0642 | 2.18** |
| βpersistence | 0.9623 | 16.80*** |
| νDF | 3.9518 | 0.81 |
0.962
Persistence18d
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω long-run Long-run variance given a price move | 19.1976 | 0.75 |
α score Weight on the scaled score | 0.0642 | 2.18** |
β persistence Volatility persistence | 0.9623 | 16.80*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 3.9518 | 0.81 |
Persistence:
0.962
Half-life:
18 days
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