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Palantir Technologies Inc Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, November 4th, 2026

1 Day

50.25%

decreased by 2.25%

1 Week

50.45%

decreased by 2.05%

1 Month

50.56%

decreased by 1.94%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, November 3, 2026 at 10:28 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/03/2024

to

11/03/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Palantir Technologies Inc S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 30, 2020 to Oct 30, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.3914
6.58***
αARCH0.0703
2.19**
βGARCH0.4907
2.38**
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-4.3700
-2.28**
γ210.1803
3.21***
γ3-10.0743
-4.01***
γ46.6411
2.88***
γ5-3.6136
-1.34
γ61.1761
0.31
γ71.9391
0.50
γ8-5.5249
-1.94*
γ97.2956
3.15***
γ10-5.0006
-2.76***

0.561

Persistence

1d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3914
6.58***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0703
2.19**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4907
2.38**
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-4.3700
-2.28**
γ210.1803
3.21***
γ3-10.0743
-4.01***
γ46.6411
2.88***
γ5-3.6136
-1.34
γ61.1761
0.31
γ71.9391
0.50
γ8-5.5249
-1.94*
γ97.2956
3.15***
γ10-5.0006
-2.76***

Persistence:

0.561

Half-life:

1 days