Palantir Technologies Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, November 4th, 2026
1 Day
63.54%
decreased by 1.67%
1 Week
64.97%
decreased by 0.24%
1 Month
67.29%
increased by 2.08%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, November 3, 2026 at 10:27 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 30, 2020 to Oct 30, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 4-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 2.8489 | 2.21** |
| αARCH | 0.0737 | 1.98** |
| βGARCH | 0.7651 | 9.50*** |
| γleverage | 0.0197 | 0.25 |
0.849
Persistence4d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.8489 | 2.21** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0737 | 1.98** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7651 | 9.50*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0197 | 0.25 |
Persistence:
0.849
Half-life:
4 days
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