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V-Lab

Pilbara Gold Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

5,013.54%

increased by 107.17%

1 Week

5,008.91%

increased by 102.54%

1 Month

4,990.46%

increased by 84.09%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 10:04 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Pilbara Gold Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1996 to Jul 24, 2026
Illiquid Asset
Extended Optimization
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.00 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

7,501.0410
13.52***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0451
230.03***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9990
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0002

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

693 days