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Ponce Financial Group Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 22nd, 2026

1 Day

20.42%

decreased by 0.40%

1 Week

22.74%

increased by 1.92%

1 Month

27.92%

increased by 7.10%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 02:13 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/21/2024

to

10/21/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Ponce Financial Group Inc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 2, 2017 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 10-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.3250
2.16**
αARCH0.1078
3.62***
βGARCH0.7730
18.57***
γleverage0.1028
1.23

0.932

Persistence

10d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.3250
2.16**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1078
3.62***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7730
18.57***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1028
1.23

Persistence:

0.932

Half-life:

10 days