Ponce Financial Group Inc EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026
1 Day
21.08%
decreased by 0.90%
1 Week
22.77%
increased by 0.79%
1 Month
27.90%
increased by 5.92%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 09:29 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 2, 2017 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days.
σ
EGARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 9-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.1208 | 2.26** |
| αARCH | 0.2642 | 5.59*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9280 | 30.71*** |
| γleverage | -0.0338 | -0.83 |
0.928
Persistence9d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1208 | 2.26** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2642 | 5.59*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9280 | 30.71*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0338 | -0.83 |
Persistence:
0.928
Half-life:
9 days
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