Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Ponce Financial Group Inc Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

18.24%

increased by 0.38%

1 Week

19.87%

increased by 2.01%

1 Month

24.62%

increased by 6.76%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 09:29 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Ponce Financial Group Inc AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 2, 2017 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 29 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 29 days.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 29-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.1574
3.89***
αARCH0.2936
5.65***
βGARCH0.6888
22.58***
γleverage-0.0128
-0.16

0.976

Persistence

29d

Half-life
μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1574
3.89***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2936
5.65***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6888
22.58***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0128
-0.16

Persistence:

0.976

Half-life:

29 days