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Ponce Financial Group Inc AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

21.29%

decreased by 0.37%

1 Week

23.50%

increased by 1.84%

1 Month

28.34%

increased by 6.68%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 09:29 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Ponce Financial Group Inc AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 2, 2017 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 9-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.3103
2.01**
αARCH0.1623
5.43***
βGARCH0.7645
16.90***
γleverage0.4496
1.74*

0.927

Persistence

9d

Half-life
σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.3103
2.01**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1623
5.43***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7645
16.90***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.4496
1.74*

Persistence:

0.927

Half-life:

9 days