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V-Lab

Mustek Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 21st, 2026

1 Day

31.88%

increased by 1.09%

1 Week

33.96%

increased by 3.17%

1 Month

38.00%

increased by 7.21%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 08:25 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Mustek Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 3, 1997 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 57% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0964
16.04***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7655
117.63***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0554
6.87***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

1.1866
0.26
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.8284
0.26
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.890

Half-life:

6 days