V-Lab
Mustek Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
40.11%
increased by 4.14%
1 Week
41.11%
increased by 5.14%
1 Month
42.24%
increased by 6.27%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 05:33 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 3, 1997 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 57% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0966 | 16.06*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7651 | 117.27*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0553 | 6.86*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 1.1804 | 0.27 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.8308 | 0.26 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.889
Half-life:
6 days
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on International Equities