V-Lab
Mustek Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, August 21st, 2026
1 Day
31.88%
increased by 1.09%
1 Week
33.96%
increased by 3.17%
1 Month
38.00%
increased by 7.21%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 08:25 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 3, 1997 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 57% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0964 | 16.04*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7655 | 117.63*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0554 | 6.87*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 1.1866 | 0.26 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.8284 | 0.26 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.890
Half-life:
6 days
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