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V-Lab
V-Lab

Mustek Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

57.80%

decreased by 2.67%

1 Week

58.15%

decreased by 2.32%

1 Month

59.31%

decreased by 1.16%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 3, 2026 at 11:17 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Mustek Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 3, 1997 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 29 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 29 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.35 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 29-day half-lifev = 2.35 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst16.6684
0.77
αARCH0.0787
6.91***
βGARCH0.9763
32.85***
νDF2.3490
11.31***

0.976

Persistence

29d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

16.6684
0.77
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0787
6.91***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9763
32.85***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.3490
11.31***

Persistence:

0.976

Half-life:

29 days