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V-Lab

Mustek Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

62.48%

increased by 6.59%

1 Week

62.58%

increased by 6.69%

1 Month

62.92%

increased by 7.03%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 05:32 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Mustek Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 3, 1997 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 30 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 30 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.36 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

16.5677
3.05***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0788
27.98***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9768
133.94***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.3559
45.10***

Persistence:

0.977

Half-life:

30 days