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V-Lab

Mustek Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

58.95%

increased by 8.83%

1 Week

59.25%

increased by 9.13%

1 Month

60.28%

increased by 10.16%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 09:30 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Mustek Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 3, 1997 to Sep 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 29 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 29 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.34 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 29-day half-lifev = 2.34 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst16.8502
0.76
αARCH0.0792
6.90***
βGARCH0.9761
32.56***
νDF2.3444
11.45***

0.976

Persistence

29d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

16.8502
0.76
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0792
6.90***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9761
32.56***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.3444
11.45***

Persistence:

0.976

Half-life:

29 days