Skip to main content
V-Lab

Mustek Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 21st, 2026

1 Day

46.39%

increased by 3.17%

1 Week

47.36%

increased by 4.14%

1 Month

50.55%

increased by 7.33%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 08:25 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Mustek Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 3, 1997 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 29 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 29 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.36 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

16.4843
3.06***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0786
27.88***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9767
133.67***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.3553
44.96***

Persistence:

0.977

Half-life:

29 days