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V-Lab
V-Lab

Mustek Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

37.90%

decreased by 1.48%

1 Week

38.44%

decreased by 0.94%

1 Month

40.26%

increased by 0.88%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 3, 2026 at 11:16 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Mustek Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 3, 1997 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 35 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 35 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 35-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.1945
4.38***
αARCH0.0717
4.21***
βGARCH0.8748
61.43***
γleverage0.0676
1.74*

0.980

Persistence

35d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1945
4.38***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0717
4.21***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8748
61.43***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0676
1.74*

Persistence:

0.980

Half-life:

35 days