V-Lab
Grayscale Bitcoin Miners ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
68.25%
decreased by 1.47%
1 Week
69.68%
decreased by 0.04%
1 Month
71.48%
increased by 1.76%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 10:35 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 30, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 4.3358 | 9.02*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6737 | 22.94*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2357 | 4.45*** |
Persistence:
0.792
Half-life:
3 days
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