Mercury NZ Limited Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, May 21st, 2026
1 Day
35.83%
increased by 0.41%
1 Week
36.48%
increased by 1.06%
1 Month
36.74%
increased by 1.32%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, May 21, 2026 at 05:50 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.6373 | 6.62 | |
| 0.2381 | 8.08 | |
| 0.2055 | 2.22 | |
| 0.2120 | 1.14 | |
| -0.5216 | -1.96 | |
| 0.6625 | 4.28 | |
| -0.6649 | -5.31 | |
| 0.4354 | 3.56 | |
| -0.2040 | -1.86 | |
| 0.1371 | 1.93 |
Estimation Period:
May 10, 2013 to May 15, 2026
May 10, 2013 to May 15, 2026
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