Mercury NZ Limited GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, May 21st, 2026
1 Day
36.42%
increased by 0.82%
1 Week
36.82%
increased by 1.22%
1 Month
38.05%
increased by 2.45%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, May 21, 2026 at 05:50 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 6.9093 | 9.01 | |
| 0.0836 | 14.79 | |
| 0.9636 | 226.84 | |
| 6.2325 | 4.13 |
Estimation Period:
May 10, 2013 to May 15, 2026
May 10, 2013 to May 15, 2026
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