V-Lab
Pacer S&P M 400 Q FCF AR ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
16.98%
increased by 0.60%
1 Week
17.12%
increased by 0.74%
1 Month
17.40%
increased by 1.02%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 02:16 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 1, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1498 | 2.77*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8446 | 17.19*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0684 | 1.75* |
Persistence:
0.879
Half-life:
5 days
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