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V-Lab

CME Lean Hogs MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026

1 Day

32.68%

increased by 0.05%

1 Week

32.79%

increased by 0.16%

1 Month

33.23%

increased by 0.60%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 30, 2026 at 04:20 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CME Lean Hogs MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 15, 2000 to Aug 28, 2026
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

41
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0000
0.00
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0143
0.99
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0034
1.69*
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9940
239.74***

Persistence:

0.000

Half-life:

0 days