V-Lab
CME Lean Hogs MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026
1 Day
32.68%
increased by 0.05%
1 Week
32.79%
increased by 0.16%
1 Month
33.23%
increased by 0.60%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 30, 2026 at 04:20 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 15, 2000 to Aug 28, 2026σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 41 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0143 | 0.99 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0034 | 1.69* |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9940 | 239.74*** |
Persistence:
0.000
Half-life:
0 days
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