V-Lab
Keerthi Industries Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
56.66%
1 Week
58.81%
1 Month
60.42%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:48 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 4, 2011 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 27% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 41 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1512 | 28.21*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5801 | 25.16*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0319 | -6.00*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 2.7966 | 0.27 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.7364 | 0.26 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.715
Half-life:
2 days
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