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V-Lab

Keerthi Industries Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

56.66%

decreased by 2.56%

1 Week

58.81%

decreased by 0.41%

1 Month

60.42%

increased by 1.20%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:48 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Keerthi Industries Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 4, 2011 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 27% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

41
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1512
28.21***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5801
25.16***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0319
-6.00***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

2.7966
0.27
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.7364
0.26
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.715

Half-life:

2 days