V-Lab
Keerthi Industries Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
65.39%
decreased by 3.46%
1 Week
64.11%
decreased by 4.74%
1 Month
60.38%
decreased by 8.47%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:48 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 4, 2011 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 200.00 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 10.8014 | 38.08*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1091 | 12.33*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9436 | 277.21*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 200.0000 | 0.22 |
Persistence:
0.944
Half-life:
12 days
Other Keerthi Industries Ltd Analyses
Other GAS-GARCH Student T Analyses on International Equities