V-Lab
Keerthi Industries Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
66.18%
decreased by 3.25%
1 Week
64.95%
decreased by 4.48%
1 Month
61.26%
decreased by 8.17%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:48 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 4, 2011 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 13 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 13 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.5502 | 15.18*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0966 | 10.44*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8428 | 129.66*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0191 | 1.01 |
Persistence:
0.949
Half-life:
13 days
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