V-Lab
Ishares Ethereum Trust ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
41.80%
decreased by 1.20%
1 Week
42.73%
decreased by 0.27%
1 Month
44.79%
increased by 1.79%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:52 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 23, 2024 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 71 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8436 | 91.57*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1565 | 18.65*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0542 | 5.91*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9349 | 63.99*** |
Persistence:
0.922
Half-life:
9 days
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