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V-Lab

Ishares Ethereum Trust ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

41.80%

decreased by 1.20%

1 Week

42.73%

decreased by 0.27%

1 Month

44.79%

increased by 1.79%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:52 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Ishares Ethereum Trust ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 23, 2024 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

71
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8436
91.57***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1565
18.65***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0542
5.91***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9349
63.99***

Persistence:

0.922

Half-life:

9 days