V-Lab
Ishares Ethereum Trust ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
65.21%
decreased by 1.47%
1 Week
68.60%
increased by 1.92%
1 Month
70.91%
increased by 4.23%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:52 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 23, 2024 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 6.47 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 20.4162 | 8.96*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0706 | 1.73* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6356 | 8.39*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 6.4698 | 0.35 |
Persistence:
0.636
Half-life:
2 days
Other Ishares Ethereum Trust ETF Analyses
Other GAS-GARCH Student T Analyses on ETFs