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V-Lab

Ishares Ethereum Trust ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

65.21%

decreased by 1.47%

1 Week

68.60%

increased by 1.92%

1 Month

70.91%

increased by 4.23%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:52 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Ishares Ethereum Trust ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 23, 2024 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 6.47 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

20.4162
8.96***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0706
1.73*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6356
8.39***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

6.4698
0.35

Persistence:

0.636

Half-life:

2 days