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V-Lab

Integra Essentia Limited MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

60.22%

decreased by 1.09%

1 Week

60.34%

decreased by 0.97%

1 Month

60.42%

decreased by 0.89%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Integra Essentia Limited MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 20, 2013 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.991, volatility shocks have a half-life of 75 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 53% more than positive returns

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

46
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0734
11.64***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8979
126.25***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0390
7.65***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

8.5962
0.23
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1365
0.24
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.991

Half-life:

75 days