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V-Lab

Integra Essentia Limited GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

60.24%

decreased by 1.13%

1 Week

60.16%

decreased by 1.21%

1 Month

59.85%

decreased by 1.52%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Integra Essentia Limited GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 20, 2013 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.993, volatility shocks have a half-life of 96 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 54% more than positive returns

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0839
9.15***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0733
8.13***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8996
151.22***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0399
3.02***

Persistence:

0.993

Half-life:

96 days