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V-Lab

CNH Industrial NV GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

48.45%

decreased by 2.22%

1 Week

47.60%

decreased by 3.07%

1 Month

44.84%

decreased by 5.83%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 11:53 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CNH Industrial NV GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 30, 2013 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 18 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 18 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 18-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.1894
2.85***
αARCH0.0386
2.10**
βGARCH0.8944
52.58***
γleverage0.0572
1.27

0.962

Persistence

18d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1894
2.85***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0386
2.10**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8944
52.58***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0572
1.27

Persistence:

0.962

Half-life:

18 days