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CNH Industrial NV GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

54.99%

decreased by 3.23%

1 Week

54.21%

decreased by 4.01%

1 Month

51.47%

decreased by 6.75%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 11:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CNH Industrial NV GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 30, 2013 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 27 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 27 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.90 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 27-day half-lifev = 5.90 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.1282
1.69*
αARCH0.0641
4.96***
βGARCH0.9748
55.92***
νDF5.8954
0.95

0.975

Persistence

27d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.1282
1.69*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0641
4.96***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9748
55.92***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

5.8954
0.95

Persistence:

0.975

Half-life:

27 days