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V-Lab

Grupo Comercial Chedraui SA de CV MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

19.47%

decreased by 0.56%

1 Week

20.07%

increased by 0.04%

1 Month

21.27%

increased by 1.24%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 12:17 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Grupo Comercial Chedraui SA de CV MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 30, 2010 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 30% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

76
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0723
14.48***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8048
68.94***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0220
3.88***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.9854
0.13
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.6400
0.13
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.888

Half-life:

6 days