V-Lab
Grupo Comercial Chedraui SA de CV MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
19.47%
decreased by 0.56%
1 Week
20.07%
increased by 0.04%
1 Month
21.27%
increased by 1.24%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 12:17 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 30, 2010 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 30% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 76 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0723 | 14.48*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8048 | 68.94*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0220 | 3.88*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.9854 | 0.13 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.6400 | 0.13 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.888
Half-life:
6 days
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