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V-Lab

Grupo Comercial Chedraui SA de CV Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

20.64%

decreased by 0.47%

1 Week

21.39%

increased by 0.28%

1 Month

23.48%

increased by 2.37%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 12:16 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Grupo Comercial Chedraui SA de CV S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 30, 2010 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 15 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8617
12.42***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0795
7.27***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8748
49.11***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0013
-2.15**

Persistence:

0.954

Half-life:

15 days