Alpha Architect Tail Risk GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 13th, 2026:1.39% (-0.04%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0027 | 15.30 | |
| 0.4131 | 4.11 | |
| 0.4560 | 15.81 | |
| 0.2618 | 2.07 |
Estimation Period:
Mar 7, 2023 to Feb 6, 2026
Mar 7, 2023 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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