Alpha Architect Tail Risk Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Tuesday, February 17th, 2026:1.69% (+0.30%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 5.4632 | 1.42 | |
| 0.7020 | 4.83 | |
| 0.2540 | 2.82 | |
| 1.4140 | 2.44 | |
| -1.5566 | -1.56 |
Estimation Period:
Mar 7, 2023 to Feb 13, 2026
Mar 7, 2023 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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