V-Lab
Bitcoin to Euro GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
34.88%
decreased by 0.81%
1 Week
37.08%
increased by 1.39%
1 Month
44.24%
increased by 8.55%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 07:13 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 19, 2010 to Jul 25, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 56 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 56 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.3763 | 14.00*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1165 | 18.58*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8781 | 219.81*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0138 | -1.38 |
Persistence:
0.988
Half-life:
56 days
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