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V-Lab

Bitcoin to Euro GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

34.88%

decreased by 0.81%

1 Week

37.08%

increased by 1.39%

1 Month

44.24%

increased by 8.55%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 07:13 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Bitcoin to Euro GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 19, 2010 to Jul 25, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 56 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 56 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.3763
14.00***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1165
18.58***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8781
219.81***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0138
-1.38

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

56 days