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V-Lab

Bitcoin to Euro MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

31.47%

decreased by 1.54%

1 Week

34.91%

increased by 1.90%

1 Month

40.75%

increased by 7.74%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 07:14 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Bitcoin to Euro MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 19, 2010 to Jul 25, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 52% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1548
25.61***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6129
34.66***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0801
7.50***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.2399
3.15***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0555
3.48***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9313
48.11***

Persistence:

0.808

Half-life:

3 days