Skip to main content
V-Lab

BNY Mellon Active Core Bond ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

4.68%

decreased by 0.05%

1 Week

4.66%

decreased by 0.07%

1 Month

4.62%

decreased by 0.11%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 02:21 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of BNY Mellon Active Core Bond ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 12, 2026 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 20 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 20 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0027
3.01***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9491
52.64***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0340
0.50

Persistence:

0.966

Half-life:

20 days