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V-Lab

BNY Mellon Active Core Bond ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

4.34%

decreased by 0.04%

1 Week

4.34%

decreased by 0.04%

1 Month

4.35%

decreased by 0.03%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:32 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of BNY Mellon Active Core Bond ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 12, 2026 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 18 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 18 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0029
3.97***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9440
53.28***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0367
0.65

Persistence:

0.962

Half-life:

18 days