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V-Lab

BEVEST ASA MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

66.51%

decreased by 5.19%

1 Week

71.86%

increased by 0.16%

1 Month

77.32%

increased by 5.62%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 04:50 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

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graph of BEVEST ASA MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 21, 2020 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

96
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2146
7.28***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5306
5.93***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1737
-3.96***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

6.2583
0.10
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.7704
0.08
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.658

Half-life:

2 days