V-Lab
Leverage Shares 2X Avgo ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 27th, 2026
1 Day
79.68%
1 Week
91.73%
1 Month
116.77%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 10:19 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 16, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 121 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3797 | 44.40*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7232 | 74.95*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.3535 | -26.86*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 18.44*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8823 | 115.26*** |
Persistence:
0.926
Half-life:
9 days
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