V-Lab
Leverage Shares 2X Avgo ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 27th, 2026
1 Day
99.73%
decreased by 0.93%
1 Week
102.64%
increased by 1.98%
1 Month
104.50%
increased by 3.84%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 10:19 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 16, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.7064 | 7.27*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0548 | 0.89 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5560 | 1.27 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.4861 | -2.57** |
Persistence:
0.611
Half-life:
1 days
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