V-Lab
Leverage Shares 2X Avgo ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 27th, 2026
1 Day
85.22%
decreased by 1.20%
1 Week
86.85%
increased by 0.43%
1 Month
89.51%
increased by 3.09%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 10:18 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 16, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 3.11*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0614 | 2.22** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8030 | 14.09*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0310 | -1.05 |
Persistence:
0.849
Half-life:
4 days
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