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V-Lab

Aster DM Quality Care Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

36.72%

decreased by 2.83%

1 Week

36.33%

decreased by 3.22%

1 Month

36.74%

decreased by 2.81%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 09:25 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Aster DM Quality Care Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 26, 2018 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

31
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0074
0.86
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7119
6.44***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0772
4.33***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

3.3007
0.06
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.4713
0.06
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.758

Half-life:

3 days