V-Lab
Aster DM Quality Care Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
36.72%
decreased by 2.83%
1 Week
36.33%
decreased by 3.22%
1 Month
36.74%
decreased by 2.81%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 09:25 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 26, 2018 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 31 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0074 | 0.86 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7119 | 6.44*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0772 | 4.33*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 3.3007 | 0.06 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.4713 | 0.06 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.758
Half-life:
3 days
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