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V-Lab

Ashika Global Securities Ltd Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

55.40%

decreased by 0.70%

1 Week

54.72%

decreased by 1.38%

1 Month

52.46%

decreased by 3.64%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 07:10 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Ashika Global Securities Ltd APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 8, 2013 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 23% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets. The volatility power δ = 1.21 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1030
12.36***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1649
28.07***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8351
123.84***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0868
-5.41***
δ

power

Transformation power

1.2063
25.30***

Persistence:

0.969

Half-life:

22 days