V-Lab
Ashika Global Securities Ltd EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
61.69%
increased by 3.83%
1 Week
61.05%
increased by 3.19%
1 Month
59.51%
increased by 1.65%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 07:10 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 8, 2013 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 80% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1979 | 10.13*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2259 | 26.49*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9229 | 91.21*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0645 | -5.78*** |
Persistence:
0.923
Half-life:
9 days
Other Ashika Global Securities Ltd Analyses
Other EGARCH Analyses on International Equities