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V-Lab

iShares MSCI ACWI ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

13.59%

decreased by 0.47%

1 Week

14.07%

increased by 0.01%

1 Month

15.48%

increased by 1.42%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:23 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI ACWI ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 31, 2000 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

81
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8562
286.72***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1811
35.31***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0715
1.74*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.3680
1.75*
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.5676
2.28**

Persistence:

0.947

Half-life:

13 days