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V-Lab

iShares MSCI ACWI ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

13.18%

decreased by 0.55%

1 Week

13.38%

decreased by 0.35%

1 Month

14.05%

increased by 0.32%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:22 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI ACWI ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 31, 2000 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0246
17.19***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0099
3.36***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8879
398.87***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1637
23.20***

Persistence:

0.980

Half-life:

34 days