NX Filtration N.V. MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
62.72%
1 Week
63.69%
1 Month
68.47%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:27 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 15, 2021 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 120% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 41 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3268 | 13.82*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4120 | 13.83*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1781 | -4.89*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.4522 | 0.74 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1443 | 0.92 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8187 | 4.01*** |
Persistence:
0.650
Half-life:
2 days
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