V-Lab
NX Filtration N.V. MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
73.65%
1 Week
66.99%
1 Month
59.46%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:34 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 15, 2021 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 122% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 41 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3189 | 13.64*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4333 | 15.00*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1755 | -4.89*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.4211 | 0.73 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1266 | 0.96 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8358 | 4.62*** |
Persistence:
0.664
Half-life:
2 days
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