V-Lab
NX Filtration N.V. GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 7th, 2026
1 Day
42.88%
decreased by 2.18%
1 Week
43.81%
decreased by 1.25%
1 Month
46.31%
increased by 1.25%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 06:40 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 15, 2021 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 12-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.5779 | 2.10** |
| αARCH | 0.1574 | 2.10** |
| βGARCH | 0.8337 | 16.33*** |
| γleverage | -0.0942 | -0.92 |
0.944
Persistence12d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.5779 | 2.10** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1574 | 2.10** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8337 | 16.33*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0942 | -0.92 |
Persistence:
0.944
Half-life:
12 days
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