Skip to main content
V-Lab

Nanjing Vazyme Biotech Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

65.26%

decreased by 5.21%

1 Week

64.19%

decreased by 6.28%

1 Month

60.90%

decreased by 9.57%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:09 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Nanjing Vazyme Biotech Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 15, 2021 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 83% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

46
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1514
11.42***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8117
69.00***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0685
-4.54***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

5.5963
0.20
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.3675
0.18
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.929

Half-life:

9 days