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V-Lab

Nanjing Vazyme Biotech Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 8th, 2026

1 Day

86.66%

decreased by 0.99%

1 Week

85.29%

decreased by 2.36%

1 Month

78.13%

decreased by 9.52%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 06:55 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Nanjing Vazyme Biotech Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 15, 2021 to Sep 30, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 11-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow46
αARCH0.1429
3.63***
βGARCH0.8333
22.04***
γleverage-0.0709
-1.41
λ₁tau intercept4.7219
1.18
λ₂forecast adj.0.5270
2.47**
λ₃tau persistence0.0000
0.00

0.941

Persistence

11d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

46
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1429
3.63***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8333
22.04***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0709
-1.41
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

4.7219
1.18
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.5270
2.47**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.941

Half-life:

11 days