V-Lab
Nanjing Vazyme Biotech Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
109.94%
1 Week
106.47%
1 Month
97.04%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 07:47 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 15, 2021 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 91% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 46 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1438 | 12.67*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8384 | 81.07*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0686 | -5.40*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 5.3646 | 0.24 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.4737 | 0.22 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.948
Half-life:
13 days
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