Nanjing Vazyme Biotech Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
65.26%
1 Week
64.19%
1 Month
60.90%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:09 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 15, 2021 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 83% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 46 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1514 | 11.42*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8117 | 69.00*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0685 | -4.54*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 5.5963 | 0.20 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.3675 | 0.18 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.929
Half-life:
9 days
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