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V-Lab

Nanjing Vazyme Biotech Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

109.94%

decreased by 9.21%

1 Week

106.47%

decreased by 12.68%

1 Month

97.04%

decreased by 22.11%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 07:47 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Nanjing Vazyme Biotech Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 15, 2021 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 91% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

46
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1438
12.67***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8384
81.07***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0686
-5.40***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

5.3646
0.24
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.4737
0.22
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.948

Half-life:

13 days